Statistics

# 7.1The Central Limit Theorem for Sample Means (Averages)

Statistics7.1 The Central Limit Theorem for Sample Means (Averages)

Suppose X is a random variable with a distribution that may be known or unknown (it can be any distribution). Using a subscript that matches the random variable, suppose

1. $μ x μ x$ = the mean of X
2. $σ x σ x$ = the standard deviation of X

If you draw random samples of size n, then as n increases, the random variable $X ¯ X ¯$, which consists of sample means, tends to be normally distributed and

$X ¯ ∼N( μ x , σ x n ) X ¯ ∼N( μ x , σ x n )$
7.1

The central limit theorem for sample means says that if you keep drawing larger and larger samples (such as rolling one, two, five, and finally, ten dice) and calculating their means, the sample means form their own normal distribution (the sampling distribution). The normal distribution has the same mean as the original distribution and a variance that equals the original variance divided by the sample size. The variable n is the number of values that are averaged together, not the number of times the experiment is done.

To put it more formally, if you draw random samples of size n, the distribution of the random variable $X ¯ X ¯$, which consists of sample means, is called the sampling distribution of the mean. The sampling distribution of the mean approaches a normal distribution as n, the sample size, increases.

The random variable $X ¯ X ¯$ has a different z-score associated with it from that of the random variable X. The mean $x ¯ x ¯$ is the value of $X ¯ X ¯$ in one sample.

$z= x ¯ − μ x ( σ x n ) , z= x ¯ − μ x ( σ x n ) ,$

μX is the average of both X and $X ¯ X ¯$.

= standard deviation of $X ¯ X ¯$ and is called the standard error of the mean.

## Using the TI-83, 83+, 84, 84+ Calculator

To find probabilities for means on the calculator, follow these steps.

2nd DISTR
2:normalcdf

where

• mean is the mean of the original distribution
• standard deviation is the standard deviation of the original distribution
• sample size = n

## Example 7.1

A distribution has a mean of 90 and a standard deviation of 15. Samples of size n = 25 are drawn randomly from the population.

### Problem

a. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 85 and 92.

Figure 7.2

Find P(85 < $x ¯ x ¯$ < 92). Draw a graph.

7.2

## Using the TI-83, 83+, 84, 84+ Calculator

normalcdf(lower value, upper value, mean, standard error of the mean)

The parameter list is abbreviated (lower value, upper value, μ, $σ n σ n$).

normalcdf(85,92,90,$15 25 ) = 0.6997 15 25 ) = 0.6997$

### Problem

b. Find the value that is two standard deviations above the expected value, 90, of the sample mean.

## Try It 7.1

An unknown distribution has a mean of 45 and a standard deviation of eight. Samples of size n = 30 are drawn randomly from the population. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 42 and 50.

## Example 7.2

### Problem

The length of time, in hours, it takes a group of people, 40 years old and older, to play one soccer match is normally distributed with a mean of 2 hours and a standard deviation of 0.5 hours. A sample of size n = 50 is drawn randomly from the population. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 1.8 hours and 2.3 hours.

## Try It 7.2

The length of time taken on the SAT exam for a group of students is normally distributed with a mean of 2.5 hours and a standard deviation of 0.25 hours. A sample size of n = 60 is drawn randomly from the population. Find the probability that the sample mean is between two hours and three hours.

## Using the TI-83, 83+, 84, 84+ Calculator

To find percentiles for means on the calculator, follow these steps.

2nd DIStR
3:invNorm

where

• k = the kth percentile
• mean is the mean of the original distribution
• standard deviation is the standard deviation of the original distribution
• sample size = n

## Example 7.3

### Problem

In a recent study reported Oct. 29, 2012, the mean age of tablet users is 34 years. Suppose the standard deviation is 15 years. Take a sample of size n = 100.

1. What are the mean and standard deviation for the sample mean ages of tablet users?
2. What does the distribution look like?
3. Find the probability that the sample mean age is more than 30 years (the reported mean age of tablet users in this particular study).
4. Find the 95th percentile for the sample mean age (to one decimal place).

## Try It 7.3

A gaming marketing gap for men between the ages of 30 to 40 has been identified. You are researching a startup game targeted at the 35-year-old demographic. Your idea is to develop a strategy game that can be played by men from their late 20s through their late 30s. Based on the article’s data, industry research shows that the average strategy player is 28 years old with a standard deviation of 4.8 years. You take a sample of 100 randomly selected gamers. If your target market is 29- to 35-year-olds, should you continue with your development strategy?

## Example 7.4

### Problem

The mean number of minutes for app engagement by a tablet user is 8.2 minutes. Suppose the standard deviation is one minute. Take a sample of 60.

1. What are the mean and standard deviation for the sample mean number of app engagement minutes by a tablet user?
2. What is the standard error of the mean?
3. Find the 90th percentile for the sample mean time for app engagement for a tablet user. Interpret this value in a complete sentence.
4. Find the probability that the sample mean is between eight minutes and 8.5 minutes.

## Try It 7.4

Cans of a cola beverage claim to contain 16 ounces. The amounts in a sample are measured and the statistics are n = 34, $x ¯ x ¯$ = 16.01 ounces. If the cans are filled so that μ = 16.00 ounces (as labeled) and σ = 0.143 ounces, find the probability that a sample of 34 cans will have an average amount greater than 16.01 ounces. Do the results suggest that cans are filled with an amount greater than 16 ounces?

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