No, outcomes are not equally likely. In this distribution, more people require a little bit of time, and fewer people require a lot of time, so it is more likely that someone will require less time.
- X represents the length of time a commuter must wait for a train to arrive on the Red Line.
- Graph the probability distribution.
- where 0 ≤ x ≤ 8
- four
- 2.31
- The probability density function of X is .
P(X > 19) = (25 – 19) = = . - P(19 < X < 22) = (22 – 19) = = .
- This is a conditional probability question. P(x > 21 x > 18). You can do this two ways:
- Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is =
So, P(x > 21 x > 18) = (25 – 21) = 4/7. - Use the formula: P(x > 21 x > 18) =
= = = .
- Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is =
- X = the useful life of a particular car battery, measured in months.
- X is continuous.
- 40 months
- 360 months
- 0.4066
- 14.27
- X = the time (in years) after reaching age 60 that it takes an individual to retire
- X is continuous.
- five
- five
- Check student’s solution.
- 0.1353
- before
- 18.3
Let X = the number of no-hitters throughout a season. Since the duration of time between no-hitters is exponential, the number of no-hitters per season is Poisson with mean λ = 3.
Therefore, (X = 0) = = e–3 ≈ 0.0498
NOTE
You could let T = duration of time between no-hitters. Since the time is exponential and there are 3 no-hitters per season, then the time between no-hitters is season. For the exponential, µ = .
Therefore, m = = 3 and T ∼ Exp(3).
- The desired probability is P(T > 1) = 1 – P(T < 1) = 1 – (1 – e–3) = e–3 ≈ 0.0498.
- Let T = duration of time between no-hitters. We find P(T > 2|T > 1), and by the memoryless property this is simply P(T > 1), which we found to be 0.0498 in part a.
- Let X = the number of no-hitters is a season. Assume that X is Poisson with mean λ = 3. Then P(X > 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3) = 0.3528.
- = 11.11
- P(X > 10) = 1 – P(X ≤ 10) = 1 – Poissoncdf(11.11, 10) ≈ 0.5532.
- The number of people with Type B blood encountered roughly follows the Poisson distribution, so the number of people X who arrive between successive Type B arrivals is roughly exponential with mean μ = 9 and m = . The cumulative distribution function of X is . Thus, P(X > 20) = 1 - P(X ≤ 20) =
Note
We could also deduce that each person arriving has a 8/9 chance of not having Type B blood. So the probability that none of the first 20 people arrive have Type B blood is . (The geometric distribution is more appropriate than the exponential because the number of people between Type B people is discrete instead of continuous.)
Let T = duration (in minutes) between successive visits. Since patients arrive at a rate of one patient every seven minutes, μ = 7 and the decay constant is m = . The cdf is P(T < t) =
- P(T < 2) = 1 - ≈ 0.2485.
- P(T > 15) = .
- P(T > 15|T > 10) = P(T > 5) = .
- Let X = # of patients arriving during a half-hour period. Then X has the Poisson distribution with a mean of , X ∼ Poisson. Find P(X > 8) = 1 – P(X ≤ 8) ≈ 0.0311.