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Introductory Business Statistics

12.3 The F Distribution and the F-Ratio

Introductory Business Statistics12.3 The F Distribution and the F-Ratio

The distribution used for the hypothesis test is a new one. It is called the F distribution, invented by George Snedecor but named in honor of Sir Ronald Fisher, an English statistician. The F statistic is a ratio (a fraction). There are two sets of degrees of freedom; one for the numerator and one for the denominator.

For example, if F follows an F distribution and the number of degrees of freedom for the numerator is four, and the number of degrees of freedom for the denominator is ten, then F ~ F4,10.

To calculate the F ratio, two estimates of the variance are made.

  1. Variance between samples: An estimate of σ2 that is the variance of the sample means multiplied by n (when the sample sizes are the same.). If the samples are different sizes, the variance between samples is weighted to account for the different sample sizes. The variance is also called variation due to treatment or explained variation.
  2. Variance within samples: An estimate of σ2 that is the average of the sample variances (also known as a pooled variance). When the sample sizes are different, the variance within samples is weighted. The variance is also called the variation due to error or unexplained variation.
  • SSbetween = the sum of squares that represents the variation among the different samples
  • SSwithin = the sum of squares that represents the variation within samples that is due to chance.

To find a "sum of squares" means to add together squared quantities that, in some cases, may be weighted. We used sum of squares to calculate the sample variance and the sample standard deviation in Chapter 2 Descriptive Statistics.

MS means "mean square." MSbetween is the variance between groups, and MSwithin is the variance within groups.

Calculation of Sum of Squares and Mean Square

  • k = the number of different groups
  • nj = the size of the jth group
  • sj = the sum of the values in the jth group
  • n = total number of all the values combined (total sample size: ∑nj)
  • x = one value: ∑x = ∑sj
  • Sum of squares of all values from every group combined: ∑x2
  • Between group variability: SStotal = ∑x2 ( x 2 ) n ( x 2 ) n
  • Total sum of squares: ∑x2 ( x ) 2 n ( x ) 2 n
  • Explained variation: sum of squares representing variation among the different samples:
    SSbetween = [ (sj) 2 n j ] ( s j ) 2 n [ (sj) 2 n j ] ( s j ) 2 n
  • Unexplained variation: sum of squares representing variation within samples due to chance: S S within =S S total S S between S S within =S S total S S between
  • df's for different groups (df's for the numerator): df = k – 1
  • Equation for errors within samples (df's for the denominator): dfwithin = nk
  • Mean square (variance estimate) explained by the different groups: MSbetween = S S between df between S S between df between
  • Mean square (variance estimate) that is due to chance (unexplained): MSwithin = S S within d f within S S within d f within

MSbetween and MSwithin can be written as follows:

  • M S between = S S between d f between = S S between k1 M S between = S S between d f between = S S between k1
  • M S within = S S within d f within = S S within nk M S within = S S within d f within = S S within nk

The one-way ANOVA test depends on the fact that MSbetween can be influenced by population differences among means of the several groups. Since MSwithin compares values of each group to its own group mean, the fact that group means might be different does not affect MSwithin.

The null hypothesis says that all groups are samples from populations having the same normal distribution. The alternate hypothesis says that at least two of the sample groups come from populations with different normal distributions. If the null hypothesis is true, MSbetween and MSwithin should both estimate the same value.

Note

The null hypothesis says that all the group population means are equal. The hypothesis of equal means implies that the populations have the same normal distribution, because it is assumed that the populations are normal and that they have equal variances.

F-Ratio or F Statistic F= M S between M S within F= M S between M S within

If MSbetween and MSwithin estimate the same value (following the belief that H0 is true), then the F-ratio should be approximately equal to one. Mostly, just sampling errors would contribute to variations away from one. As it turns out, MSbetween consists of the population variance plus a variance produced from the differences between the samples. MSwithin is an estimate of the population variance. Since variances are always positive, if the null hypothesis is false, MSbetween will generally be larger than MSwithin.Then the F-ratio will be larger than one. However, if the population effect is small, it is not unlikely that MSwithin will be larger in a given sample.

The foregoing calculations were done with groups of different sizes. If the groups are the same size, the calculations simplify somewhat and the F-ratio can be written as:

F-Ratio Formula when the groups are the same size F= n s x 2 s 2 pooled F= n s x 2 s 2 pooled

where ...
  • n = the sample size
  • dfnumerator = k – 1
  • dfdenominator = nk
  • s2 pooled = the mean of the sample variances (pooled variance)
  • s x 2 s x 2 = the variance of the sample means

Data are typically put into a table for easy viewing. One-Way ANOVA results are often displayed in this manner by computer software.

Source of variation Sum of squares (SS) Degrees of freedom (df) Mean square (MS) F
Factor
(Between)
SS(Factor) k – 1 MS(Factor) = SS(Factor)/(k – 1) F = MS(Factor)/MS(Error)
Error
(Within)
SS(Error) nk MS(Error) = SS(Error)/(nk)
Total SS(Total) n – 1
Table 12.3

Example 12.2

Three different diet plans are to be tested for mean weight loss. The entries in the table are the weight losses for the different plans. The one-way ANOVA results are shown in Table 12.4.

Plan 1: n1 = 4 Plan 2: n2 = 3 Plan 3: n3 = 3
5 3.5 8
4.5 7 4
4 3.5
3 4.5
Table 12.4

s1 = 16.5, s2 =15, s3 = 15.5

Following are the calculations needed to fill in the one-way ANOVA table. The table is used to conduct a hypothesis test.

SS(between)=[ ( s j ) 2 n j ] ( s j ) 2 n  SS(between)=[ ( s j ) 2 n j ] ( s j ) 2 n 
12.1
=  s 1 2 4 + s 2 2 3 + s 3 2 3 ( s 1 + s 2 + s 3 ) 2 10 =  s 1 2 4 + s 2 2 3 + s 3 2 3 ( s 1 + s 2 + s 3 ) 2 10
12.2

where n1 = 4, n2 = 3, n3 = 3 and n = n1 + n2 + n3 = 10

  = ( 16.5 ) 2 4 + ( 15 ) 2 3 + ( 15.5 ) 2 3 ( 16.5+15+15.5 ) 2 10   = ( 16.5 ) 2 4 + ( 15 ) 2 3 + ( 15.5 ) 2 3 ( 16.5+15+15.5 ) 2 10
SS(between)=2.2458 SS(between)=2.2458
12.3
S(total)= x 2 ( x ) 2 n S(total)= x 2 ( x ) 2 n
12.4
 =( 5 2 + 4.5 2 + 4 2 + 3 2 + 3.5 2 + 7 2 + 4.5 2 + 8 2 + 4 2 + 3.5 2 )  =( 5 2 + 4.5 2 + 4 2 + 3 2 + 3.5 2 + 7 2 + 4.5 2 + 8 2 + 4 2 + 3.5 2 )
12.5
(5+4.5+4+3+3.5+7+4.5+8+4+3.5) 2 10 (5+4.5+4+3+3.5+7+4.5+8+4+3.5) 2 10
12.6
=244 47 2 10 =244220.9 =244 47 2 10 =244220.9
12.7
SS(total)=23.1 SS(total)=23.1
12.8
SS(within)=SS(total)SS(between) SS(within)=SS(total)SS(between)
12.9
= 23.12.2458 = 23.12.2458
12.10
SS(within)=20.8542 SS(within)=20.8542
12.11
Source of variation Sum of squares (SS) Degrees of freedom (df) Mean square (MS) F
Factor
(Between)
SS(Factor)
= SS(Between)
= 2.2458
k – 1
= 3 groups – 1
= 2
MS(Factor)
= SS(Factor)/(k – 1)
= 2.2458/2
= 1.1229
F =
MS(Factor)/MS(Error)
= 1.1229/2.9792
= 0.3769
Error
(Within)
SS(Error)
= SS(Within)
= 20.8542
nk
= 10 total data – 3 groups
= 7
MS(Error)
= SS(Error)/(nk)
= 20.8542/7
= 2.9792
Total SS(Total)
= 2.2458 + 20.8542
= 23.1
n – 1
= 10 total data – 1
= 9
Table 12.5

Try It 12.2

As part of an experiment to see how different types of soil cover would affect slicing tomato production, Marist College students grew tomato plants under different soil cover conditions. Groups of three plants each had one of the following treatments

  • bare soil
  • a commercial ground cover
  • black plastic
  • straw
  • compost

All plants grew under the same conditions and were the same variety. Students recorded the weight (in grams) of tomatoes produced by each of the n = 15 plants:

Bare: n1 = 3 Ground Cover: n2 = 3 Plastic: n3 = 3 Straw: n4 = 3 Compost: n5 = 3
2,625 5,348 6,583 7,285 6,277
2,997 5,682 8,560 6,897 7,818
4,915 5,482 3,830 9,230 8,677
Table 12.6


Create the one-way ANOVA table.

The one-way ANOVA hypothesis test is always right-tailed because larger F-values are way out in the right tail of the F-distribution curve and tend to make us reject H0.

Example 12.3

Problem

Let’s return to the slicing tomato exercise in Try It 12.2. The means of the tomato yields under the five mulching conditions are represented by μ1, μ2, μ3, μ4, μ5. We will conduct a hypothesis test to determine if all means are the same or at least one is different. Using a significance level of 5%, test the null hypothesis that there is no difference in mean yields among the five groups against the alternative hypothesis that at least one mean is different from the rest.

Try It 12.3

MRSA, or Staphylococcus aureus, can cause a serious bacterial infections in hospital patients. Table 12.8 shows various colony counts from different patients who may or may not have MRSA. The data from the table is plotted in Figure 12.5.

Conc = 0.6Conc = 0.8 Conc = 1.0 Conc = 1.2 Conc = 1.4
9 16 22 30 27
66 93 147 199 168
98 82 120 148 132
Table 12.8

Plot of the data for the different concentrations:

This graph is a scatterplot for the data provided. The horizontal axis is labeled 'Colony counts' and extends from 0 - 200. The vertical axis is labeled 'Tryptone concentrations' and extends from 0.6 - 1.4.
Figure 12.5

Test whether the mean number of colonies are the same or are different. Construct the ANOVA table, find the p-value, and state your conclusion. Use a 5% significance level.

Example 12.4

Four sororities took a random sample of sisters regarding their grade means for the past term. The results are shown in Table 12.9.

Sorority 1 Sorority 2 Sorority 3 Sorority 4
2.17 2.63 2.63 3.79
1.85 1.77 3.78 3.45
2.83 3.25 4.00 3.08
1.69 1.86 2.55 2.26
3.33 2.21 2.45 3.18
Table 12.9 Mean grades for four sororities

Problem

Using a significance level of 1%, is there a difference in mean grades among the sororities?

Try It 12.4

Four sports teams took a random sample of players regarding their GPAs for the last year. The results are shown in Table 12.10.

Basketball Baseball Hockey Lacrosse
3.6 2.1 4.0 2.0
2.9 2.6 2.0 3.6
2.5 3.9 2.6 3.9
3.3 3.1 3.2 2.7
3.8 3.4 3.2 2.5
Table 12.10 GPAs for four sports teams

Use a significance level of 5%, and determine if there is a difference in GPA among the teams.

Example 12.5

A fourth grade class is studying the environment. One of the assignments is to grow bean plants in different soils. Tommy chose to grow his bean plants in soil found outside his classroom mixed with dryer lint. Tara chose to grow her bean plants in potting soil bought at the local nursery. Nick chose to grow his bean plants in soil from his mother's garden. No chemicals were used on the plants, only water. They were grown inside the classroom next to a large window. Each child grew five plants. At the end of the growing period, each plant was measured, producing the data (in inches) in Table 12.11.

Tommy's plants Tara's plants Nick's plants
24 25 23
21 31 27
23 23 22
30 20 30
23 28 20
Table 12.11

Problem

Does it appear that the three media in which the bean plants were grown produce the same mean height? Test at a 3% level of significance.

Notation

The notation for the F distribution is F ~ Fdf(num),df(denom)

where df(num) = dfbetween and df(denom) = dfwithin

The mean for the F distribution is μ= df(num) df(denom)2 μ= df(num) df(denom)2

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