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Algebra 1

3.2.4 Assessing the Fit of a Linear Model

Algebra 13.2.4 Assessing the Fit of a Linear Model

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Activity

Three ice cream cones

The weight of ice cream sold at a small store in pounds (xx) and the average temperature outside in degrees Celsius (yy) are recorded in the table.

xx 20 18 21 17 21.5 19.5 21 18
yy 6 4.5 6.5 3.5 7.5 6.5 7 5
1.

For these data, create a scatter plot by hand on a coordinate grid and sketch a line that fits the data well.

Using Technology to Find the Equation of the Best Fit Line

Previously, you drew the best fit line by hand and found its equation without the use of technology. In this activity, and throughout the remainder of this lesson, you will use technology to find the equation of the best fit line. Click here for instructions on how to use technology to find the equation of the best fit line.

2.

Now, use technology to create the scatter plot and compute the best fit line.

3.

What is the value of the slope for the line of best fit? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth (two decimal places).

4.

What does this slope value mean in this situation?

5.

What is the value of the yy-intercept for the line of best fit? Round your answer to the nearest hundredth (two decimal places).

6.

What does this yy-intercept value mean in this situation?

7.

Use the best-fit line to predict the yy-value when xx is 10.

8.

Is this a good estimate for the data? Be prepared to share your reasoning.

9.

Your teacher will give you a data table for one of the other scatter plots from the previous activity. Use technology and this table of data to create a scatter plot then determine the line of best fit.

10.

Interpret the meaning of the value of the slope of this line of best fit.

Video: Finding Lines of Best Fit

Watch the following video to learn more about how to find the line of best fit.

Are you ready for more?

Extending Your Thinking

Priya uses several different ride services to get around her city. The table shows the distance, in miles, she traveled during her last 10 trips and the price of each trip, in dollars.

distance (miles) price ($)
3.1 12.5
4.2 14.75
5 16
3.5 13.25
2.5 12
1 9
0.8 8.75
1.6 9.75
4.3 12
3.3 14
1.

Priya creates a scatter plot of the data using the distance, xx, and the price, yy. She determines that a linear model is appropriate to use with the data. Use technology to find the equation of a line of best fit.

2.

Interpret the slope and the yy-intercept of the equation of the line of best fit in this situation.

3.

Use the line of best fit to estimate the cost of a 3.6-mile trip. Will this estimate be close to the actual value? Be prepared to show your reasoning.

4.

On her next trip, Priya tries a new ride service and travels 3.6 miles, but she pays only $4.00 because she receives a discount. Include this trip in the table and calculate the equation of the line of best fit for the 11 trips. Did the slope of the equation of the line of best fit increase, decrease, or stay the same? Why? Be prepared to show your reasoning.

5.

Priya uses the new ride service for her 12th trip. She travels 4.1 miles and is charged $24.75. How do you think the slope of the equation of the line of best fit will change when this 12th trip is added to the table?

Self Check

Old Faithful is a geyser in Yellowstone National Park. The following table offers some rough estimates of the length of an eruption (in minutes) and the amount of water (in gallons) in that eruption.

Length (minutes) 1.5 2 3 4.5
Amount of Water (gallons) 3,700 4,100 6,450 8,400

Use technology to find an equation of the line of best fit. Round to the nearest hundredth.

  1. y = 1151.19 x + 1640.48
  2. y = 1640.48 x + 1151.19
  3. y = 800 x + 2500
  4. y = 1151.19 x + 1640.48

Additional Resources

Technology for Best Fitting Lines

Scientists are interested in finding out how different species adapt to finding food sources. One group studied crocodilians to find out how their bite force was related to body mass and diet. The table below displays the information they collected on body mass (in pounds) and bite force (in pounds).

Species Body mass (pounds) Bite force (pounds)
Dwarf crocodile 35 450
Crocodile F 40 260
Alligator A 30 250
Caiman A 28 230
Caiman B 37 240
Caiman C 45 255
Crocodile A 110 550
Nile crocodile 275 650
Crocodile B 130 500
Crocodile C 135 600
Crocodile D 135 750
Caiman D 125 550
Indian gharial crocodile 225 400
Crocodile G 220 1,000
American crocodile 270 900
Crocodile E 285 750
Crocodile F 425 1,650
American alligator 300 1,150
Alligator B 325 1,200
Alligator C 365 1,450
Crocodilian Biting

The scatter plot below displays the data on body mass and bite force for the crocodilians in the study.

A scatter plot that shows the body mass in pounds on the x-axis and the bite force in pounds on the y-axis.

Using technology, the line of best fit for the data is y=3.02x+154.68y=3.02x+154.68.

The slope of the line of best fit is 3.02. This signifies that for every pound more the crocodile weighs, it has 3.02 more pounds of bite force.

The yy-intercept is 154.68, which doesn’t quite make sense for a crocodile that weighs 0 pounds, but it does give a minimum bite force to expect from a crocodile.

Try it

Try It: Technology for Best Fitting Lines

The following table gives the times of the gold, silver, and bronze medal winners for the men’s 100-meter race (in seconds) for the past 10 Olympic Games.

Use technology to write an equation of the line that represents the line of best fit for the years since 1976 and the mean times each year. Round to the nearest hundredth.

Year 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976
Number of Years (since 1976) 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 8 4 0
Gold 9.63 9.69 9.85 9.87 9.84 9.96 9.92 9.99 10.25 10.06
Silver 9.75 9.89 9.86 9.99 9.89 10.02 9.97 10.19 10.25 10.07
Bronze 9.79 9.91 9.87 10.04 9.90 10.04 9.99 10.22 10.39 10.14
Mean Time 9.72 9.83 9.86 9.97 9.88 10.01 9.96 10.13 10.30 10.09

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